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Las Vegas SuperContest Players See Favorites Dominate Again in NFL Week 12

Brett Smiley by Brett Smiley
November 28, 2017
in Sports
Las Vegas SuperContest Players Enjoy Another Positive Week In Week 12 -- On The Backs of Favorites, Which Dominate Again With 12-3-1 showing
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Week 12 in the Westgate Las Vegas SuperContest closed with a push in what proved yet another dominating week for the favorites: 12-3-1. This follows a 9-4-1 showing in Week 11 by the favorites, which powered a 2.88 points on average.

The onslaught of favorites coveringΒ again proved slightly less favorable in the SuperContest this week, as players scooped up 2.58 points on average, with 20% of entrants yielding four points (4-1) or better.

Here’s the against-the-spread record (and other records) for NFL Week 12 and year-to-date, courtesy OddsShark. Then we’ll get to the SuperContest selections and look closer at the results:

  • Underdogs vs Favorites (ATS): 4-12 (75-89-8)
  • Home vs Away (ATS): 8-8 (81-81-8)
  • Over/Under record (ATS): 7-8-1 (88-85-2)
  • Straight up underdog wins: 2 (53)

Las Vegas SuperContest Players Enjoy Another Positive Week In Week 12 — On The Backs of Favorites, Which Dominate Again With 12-3-1 showing

So, if you’ve been waiting for the dogs to bark in recent weeks, it may be time to look for a new watchdog. Since Week 7, favorites have covered at a rate of 70% with a 44-21-4 record (based on Las Vegas lines which may differ slightly from the static SuperContest lines).

Las Vegas SuperContest Players Enjoy Another Positive Week In Week 12 -- On The Backs of Favorites, Which Dominate Again With 12-3-1 showing

Here’s a snapshot of the most popular Week 12 picks among the field of 2,748 in the $1,500 per-entry contest that will pay over $1 million to the winner (courtesy FantasySuperContest):

  • Carolina Panthers -4.5 at New York Jets (picked by 36% of pool) (Win)
  • New Orleans Saints +2.5 at Los Angeles Rams (26%) (Loss)
  • Tennessee Titans -3 at Indianapolis Colts (24.5%) (Win)
  • Los Angeles Rams -2.5 vs. New Orleans Saints (24%) (Win)
  • Jacksonville Jaguars -5.5 at Arizona Cardinals (22.5%) (Loss)

The biggest item of interest here is the two-way action on the Saints-Rams contests, both of which appear in the top five consensus picks, as you can see. The Rams racked up 415 total yards against a Saints defense with a depleted secondary, controlling the ball for over 35 minutes. It was a mostly sweat-free cover as the Saints trailed 26-13 until closing the lead in the final two minutes to 26-20, which was the final score.

In Indianapolis, the Colts appeared to have a solid grip on a cover until they did 2017 Colts things; the game turned with 2:15 left in the third when Colts RB Marlon Mack botched a pitch from QB Jacoby Brissett deep in their own territory. The Titans recovered at the four-yard line and scored on the next play, pulling within 16-13… en route to a 20-16 victory and a narrow cover.

The Thanksgiving games weren’t terribly popular as the Lions registered the most attention with 20% support, falling short in a 30-23 loss to the Vikings.

With Week 12 now fully in the books, a new leader has emerged: GRANNY’S BOY! He’s moved on up from the sixth spot last week an overall 40-17-3 record (70.2%). BIOSOFT GLOBAL, a familiar name near the top, turned in a 4-1 week, putting him at just half a game off the lead.

Time to start grinding for Week 13. Another week for the favorites?! In honor of the new leader, here’s a clip from the Nick Swardson and Allan Covert-led classic (using “classic” loosely but the film is hilarious), Grandma’s Boy.

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Brett Smiley

Brett Smiley

Brett Smiley is editor-in-chief and co-founder of Sports Handle, which joined forces with the US Bets team in November 2018. He focuses on the sports betting industry and legislation. He's a recreational sports bettor and DFS player himself, focusing on the NFL. In a past life, Smiley practiced commercial litigation in New York City and previously wrote for FOX Sports and SI.com. He lives in New Jersey with his family.

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