Deciding which players to fade each week goes hand-in-hand with selecting the players you do want. Weβre faced with tough decisions every week regarding who to plug into our daily fantasy football lineups. Throughout the NFL seasonΒ I’ll be here every week to help you with those tough decisions, reviewing players at each position that Iβm fading for the weekend.
DraftKings and FanDuelΒ NFL Week 5Β DFS Fades at QB, RB, WR, TE, and D/ST
QuarterbackΒ
Cam Newton (CAR, FD: $7,800, DK: $6,500) at Detroit Lions
Iβm not convinced Newton is officially back to his former MVP self after his one successful week against the Patriots. While he threw for 300+ yards and three touchdowns, a couple of those big plays for scores came on busted coverages, not great throws from Cam. Heβll now head to Detroit to face a defense thatβs ranked fifth in DVOA against the pass and has allowed the fourth-fewest points to opposing QBs. I think people will try to ride his success from a week ago, making him an easy fade for me on the road against a defense thatβs allowing just 17.5-points per game.
Ben Roethlisberger (PIT, FD: $7,900, DK: $6,400) vs. Jacksonville Jaguars
Roethlisberger is usually a good bet when heβs at Heinz Field, but heβs facing the top defense against fantasy quarterbacks on the season. Theyβve remarkably allowed just 6.2 points per game to QBs, having allowed just 166.8 passing yards per game. Meanwhile, their run defense has been porous, as theyβve allowed the most rushing yards and 5.8 yards per carry, also the most in the NFL. I expect Pittsburgh to feed LeβVeon Bell throughout the game, leaving Big Ben with little appeal in DFS this weekend. Heβs priced as the QB3 on FanDuel and QB7 on DraftKings, making him one of the easier fades of the weekend.
Running Back
LeSean McCoy (BUF, FD: $8,200, DK: $7,800) at Cincinnati Bengals
The best offensive weapon for the Bills has been held in check since Week 1. Heβs averaged a putrid 2.3 yards per carry on 46 rushing attempts, and has totaled just 220 total yards and zero touchdowns in the last three weeks. Heβll head to Cincinnati to face a Bengals defense thatβs allowed the eighth-fewest fantasy points to opposing RBs this season and are ninth in overall defensive DVOA. I donβt see McCoy having a breakout game here, and with a salary of a top five running back on both sites, I wonβt be using him in any lineups.
Jay Ajayi (MIA, FD: $6,600, DK: $7,300) vs. Tennessee Titans
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After a promising Week 2 where Ajayi carried the ball 28 times for 122 yards, heβs seen far less production in Weeks 3 and 4. The third-year back has seen just 23 carries and 2.7 yards per carry in those two weeks, turning in RB59 and RB38 performances. Those two games came against the Saints and Jets, who are both bottom half in the league against the rush, so Iβm not optimistic that he can turn it around against the Titans. Heβs still priced in the top ten of running backs for both sites, and I need to see more productionΒ before I input him into any lineups.
Green Bay Packers Running Backs at Dallas CowboysΒ
Thereβs a whole lot of uncertainty entering the weekend in Green Bayβs backfield. The week began with Aaron Jones as the top waiver wire target after Ty Montgomery (broken ribs) and Jamaal Williams (sprained knee) both got injured in Week 4. Since then, Williams has become a full participant in practice and Montgomery was marked as limited on Thursday. Even if Montgomery is able to suit up Sunday, he likely wonβt see his full complement of carries, and Jones and Williams just canβt really be trusted to produce on split carries. Iβll happily avoid this messy situation and let others throw darts on a backfield that could include three options come Sunday.Β
Wide ReceiverΒ
Antonio Brown (PIT, FD: $8,800, DK: $8,400) vs. Jacksonville Jaguars
Iβm fading Brown this week for all the same reasons Iβm fading Big Ben. The Jags have allowed the second-fewest fantasy points to opposing WRs thus far, and I donβt think Brown has any chance of reaching his value on either site. Heβs priced as the WR2 on both, making it extremely easy to pivot to guys like Jordy Nelson, A.J. Green, or DeAndre Hopkins, who all find themselves in more favorable matchups. There will be plenty of weeks to fire up Brown, I just donβt think this is one of them.
Alshon Jeffery (PHI, FD: $7,100, DK: $5,800) vs. Arizona Cardinals
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Cue the fade against whoever Patrick Peterson will be shadowing this weekend. Heβs held Pierre Garcon to 4-36-0, Dez Bryant to 2-12-1, T.Y. Hilton to 4-49-0, and Marvin Jones Jr. to 2-37-1. Jeffery has faced a lot of tough corners already this season and has averaged just 11 fantasy points per game through four weeks. I donβt see this is as his breakout week, making him an easy fade against one of the best corners in the game.
Oakland Raiders Wide Receivers vs. Baltimore Ravens
Oakland will play their first full game with QB EJ Manuel at the helm against a tough Ravens defense. The Ravens are ranked second in DVOA against the pass and have allowed the fourth-fewest fantasy points to opposing WRs. If Oakland is to find any success in this game, it will likely be on the ground, as Baltimore has allowed 322 rushing yards and three TDs in the last two weeks. The Ravens have also struggled against the tight end, as they rank 32nd in DVOA against the position. Therefore, I donβt see any receiver having a great game here, making for an easy fade in DFS.
Tyrell Williams (LAC, FD: $6,500, DK: $5,300) at New York Giants
Tyrell the Gazelle showed his big play ability last week by hauling in a 75-yard TD en route to a five catch, 115-yard performance against the Eagles. Heβll face a less enticing NFC East pass defense in the Giants, who have allowed the fifth-fewest points to opposing WRs thus far. Heβll likely see shadow coverage from the Jackrabbit Janoris Jenkins when lined up on the outside, who is one of the better coverage corners in the game. While he could potentially bust a big play in this one, Iβll favor the jackrabbit over the gazelle in this matchup.
Tight EndΒ
Jason Witten (DAL, FD: $5,400, DK: $4,200) vs. Green Bay Packers
While I love this game for fantasy production in general, Witten is one guy I wonβt be targeting. The Packers have excelled against tight ends thus far, as they are fifthΒ in DVOA and have allowed the second-fewest points per game against the position. Witten has also gone cold since his impressive Weeks 1 and 2. After catching 17 or 22 targets for 156 yards and two touchdowns in the first two weeks, heβs caught just two of six targets for 12 yards in his previous two games. While I expect him to rack up more than one catch for six yards, I donβt think heβll come close to his production in the first two weeks.
Jimmy Graham (SEA, FD: $5,800, DK: $4,900) at Los Angeles Rams
Graham has finished as the TE43, TE58, TE12, and TE16 after four weeks. Heβs still priced as the TE4 on FanDuel and TE3 on DraftKings, which is pretty absurd given his production thus far. The Rams have allowed just 13 receptions (third-fewest) and 148 yards (seventh-fewest) to tight ends this season, so I donβt think this will be Grahamβs week to finally perform up to his salary. I expect Graham to get going eventually, but wonβt be putting him in any of my lineups this weekend.Β
Defense/Special TeamsΒ
Seattle Seahawks (FD: $5,100, DK: $3,500) at Los Angeles Rams
The Rams are currently averaging 35.5 points per game, the most in the NFL. Sean McVay has completely turned that offense around after they finished dead last in scoring a season ago (just 14 points per game). Seattle is the most expensive defense on FanDuel and the fourth-most expensive on DraftKings. I donβt see them living up to that price tag against an offense thatβs clicking on all cylinders, making them an easy fade for the weekend.