Each Monday, our βWhatβs on Tapβ series previews the week ahead in theΒ world of sports betting. Come here for a summary of upcoming financial happenings, legislative and regulatory meetings, industry conferences, top games scheduled for the week, and much more.Β Also, check out our weekly reviewΒ “Get a Grip” for a look back at last weekβs notable news.
Monday, March 14
QB carousel adjusts after Brady’s return
Tom Brady dropped a bombshell on Sunday night when he announced his return for the 2022 season after a brief retirement. The odds on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers moved dramatically following the news, with the Bucs now a co-second choice at FanDuel to win the Super Bowl. The Bucs and Packers are both at +750, just behind the Bills (+700).
These past two months Iβve realized my place is still on the field and not in the stands. That time will come. But itβs not now. I love my teammates, and I love my supportive family. They make it all possible. Iβm coming back for my 23rd season in Tampa. Unfinished business LFG pic.twitter.com/U0yhRKVKVm
Brady’s return removes the Bucs as a potential suitor for Deshaun Watson. Last week, Watson learned he will not face criminal charges in connection with sexual misconduct allegations. A Houston grand jury decided last Friday that it will not indict Watson on any of the charges. Watson, a three-time Pro Bowl quarterback, missed the entire 2021 season amid the allegations.
Less than 24 hours after the grand jury’s decision, a rumor surfaced that the Panthers will make an aggressive offer in an attempt to trade for Watson. There is also increased speculation that the Panthers are willing to offload All-Pro running back Christian McCaffrey if another team makes an attractive offer. At BetMGM, the Panthers enter free agency with odds of 50/1 to win the Super Bowl. Like the Panthers, the Steelers, Saints, and Seahawks have vacancies to fill at quarterback.
Rare Monday finish at The Players
Weather has wreaked havoc at The Players Championship. Due to persistent rains and heavy winds, The Players will conclude with a Monday finish for the first time in tournament history. On Sunday night, tournament officials suspended play in the third round because of darkness. When play was suspended on Sunday evening, all 71 players who made the cut remained on the course.
Sam Burns opened with rounds of 68-69 before finishing the third round on Monday with a one-under 71. At DraftKings, Burns was favored before the final round to win The Players, with odds of +500. Anirban Lahiri entered the final round on Monday afternoon at -9, with a one-shot lead over several golfers, including Burns. Cameron Smith and Paul Casey were the co-second choice at +700. Defending champion Justin Thomas was six shots back at 3-under, with odds of +7000 to take home the $3.6 million winner’s check at the lucrative tournament.
Tuesday, March 15
Indiana faces Wyoming in First Four
The NCAA Tournament begins with the First Four on Tuesday night in Dayton. The First Four returns to Dayton for the first time in three years. The NCAA canceled March Madness in 2020 due to the COVID-19 pandemic, before holding last year’s entire tournament in the state of Indiana. On Tuesday, Indiana will face Wyoming in the First Four, as the Hoosiers return to the tournament for the first time since 2016. Indiana opened as a 4-point favorite over the Cowboys at FanDuel.
Indiana snuck into the tournament as an at-large team after upsetting top-seed Illinois in the Big Ten conference tournament. The Hoosiers then led Iowa for most of Saturday’s semifinal, before the Hawkeyes closed on a 22-10 run for a three-point win. Indiana has odds of 45/1 to earn a spot in the Final Four.
In the opener, Texas Southern will take on Texas A&M-Corpus Christi in a matchup between two No. 16 seeds. Texas Southern is a 3-point favorite, and the total is 135.5 points. The winner will face Kansas in the Round of 64.
Wednesday, March 16
Embattled Chelsea takes on Lille in UEFA Champions League
Chelsea enters the second leg of Wednesday’s Round of 16 matchup against Lille with a 2-0 aggregate lead. But the defending UEFA Champions League title holders has larger concerns. Sanctioned last week by the UK government for his ties with Russia president Vladimir Putin, Chelsea owner Roman Abramovich had his assets frozen by the UK Treasury’s Office of Financial Sanctions Implementation. Although Abramovich has already placed the club for sale, Chelsea will have its travel budget limited in this week’s trip to France. At PointsBet, Chelsea is a -115 favorite to defeat Lille (+300) in regulation.
— Bitcoin Sportsbook π₯ (@SportsbookBTC) March 14, 2022
Thursday, March 17
Double-digit seeds offer value in Round of 64
Since expanding to 64 teams in 1985, No. 12 seeds have performed well in Round 1, accumulating a record of 51-93, a winning percentage of 35.4%. Several No. 12 seeds will be in action on Thursday. In the Midwest Region, No. 5 Iowa will take on No. 12 Richmond, the Atlantic 10 tournament champions. Iowa is favored by 9 at FanDuel, and the total is 151 points. The Hawkeyes are also heavy -430 favorites over the Spiders (+340) on the moneyline.
Moneyline odds for double-digit seeds on Thursday (FanDuel)
No. 4 Providence (-134) vs. No. 13 South Dakota State (+112)
No. 4 UCLA (-1450) vs. No. 13 Akron (+810)
No. 5 UConn (-300) vs. No. 12 New Mexico State (+240)
No. 4 Arkansas (-210) vs. No. 13 Vermont (+172)
No. 6 Colorado State (+114) vs. No. 11 Michigan (-137)
No. 3 Tennessee (-3000) vs. No. 14 Longwood (+1200)
MLB spring training begins
Following last week’s resolution of the Major League Baseball lockout, a revised spring training begins with four games on Thursday. When free agency resumed last week, the Dodgers resigned pitcher Clayton Kershaw on a one-year deal, while the Giants added Carlos Rodon on a two-year deal. Marquee free agents Carlos Correa and Freddie Freeman remain unsigned.
Sunday, March 20
Potential Duke-Michigan St. matchup highlights R32 slate
Hall of Fame coach Mike Krzyzewski is entering the final NCAA Tournament of his legendary career. On Sunday, Krzyzewski and Michigan State’s Tom Izzo could face each other. Michigan State needs to defeat Davidson in the Round of 64, while Duke must beat Cal State Fullerton on Friday to set up the matchup. Since 1999, Duke and Michigan State have met five times in the NCAA Tournament, with the Blue Devils prevailing on three occasions.
Coach K sympathy seeding, if I had to guess. That is a weird placement.
Also that region gives K a potential second round matchup with Izzo and Michigan St, a sort of"end of an era" game.
Depending on the results from the Round of 64, there could be several other juicy matchups on Sunday. They include: Purdue-Texas, Auburn-USC, Villanova-Ohio State, and Arizona-TCU. Arizona, the Pac-12 tournament champion, has odds of +600 at Caesars Sportsbook to win the national title. The Wildcats are the second choice at Caesars, behind Gonzaga.
Matt is a veteran writer with a specific focus on the emerging sports gambling market. During Matt's two decade career in journalism, he has written for the New York Times, Forbes, The Guardian, Reuters and CBSSports.com among others. In his spare time, Matt is an avid reader, a weekend tennis player and a frequent embarrassment to the sport of running. Contact Matt at [email protected]